Home Solutions Utility Resource Adequacy

Utility resource adequacy

Renewable capacity outlooks built for IRP filing, LOLE analysis, and reserve margin stress-testing.

Resource adequacy planning operates on a different timescale than operational dispatch — weeks to years rather than hours to days. Gridvynt extends its forecast engine to multi-week and seasonal production outlooks, with inter-annual variability characterization calibrated to your specific asset geography and fleet mix. Outputs are formatted for direct use in PROMOD, PLEXOS, and Aurora production cost models.

Planning horizon

Forecast outputs built for every planning timescale.

Multi-Week Capacity Outlooks

Daily capacity factor distributions for 8–12 week forward windows. Supports unit commitment planning and outage coordination for the conventional generation fleet backing up variable renewables — so your maintenance scheduling aligns with periods of reduced renewable availability, not peak capacity periods.

Seasonal and Annual Capacity Curves

Monthly P10/P50/P90 production curves calibrated to your historical actuals and geography for annual IRP filing. Includes inter-annual variability characterization so your LOLE/LOLP analysis reflects realistic low-resource years, not a single median-year assumption that can understate risk in drought or low-wind periods.

PCM Format Export

Direct export in native PROMOD, PLEXOS, and Aurora production cost model formats — including the variable renewable energy (VRE) profile format each PCM expects. No manual data transformation between Gridvynt output and your IRP simulation environment. Configuration flags available for each PCM’s temporal resolution requirements.

IRP filing season approaching? Start with your actual fleet data.

We run a pilot on your asset register before IRP season. You see calibrated seasonal capacity curves for your specific fleet — not climatological averages that don’t reflect your geography or asset vintage. Talk to a Gridvynt resource planning engineer.